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2024-12-13 04:34:40

Huaxi Securities Interpretation of the Political Bureau Meeting in December: The policy strength showed an upward trend. The Huaxi Securities Research Report pointed out that the release signal of this meeting was positive. Judging from the significant strength of Hong Kong stocks and A50 futures, the content of the meeting greatly exceeded previous market expectations. There are mainly the following aspects: First, the policy tone is more positive. "Strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment", which is used to describe countercyclical adjustment for the first time, reflects the upward trend of policy strength. The policy of this year's two sessions is expressed as "strengthening countercyclical and cross-cyclical adjustment of macro policies", the Politburo meeting in July "strengthening countercyclical adjustment" and the Politburo meeting in September "strengthening countercyclical adjustment". From the point of view of change, it gradually turns to counter-cycle instead of cross-cycle, and the intensity is constantly upgrading. Create a follow-up policy for the market that may continue to be introduced until the economy stabilizes and rebounds. At the same time, the meeting did not mention "coordinating the expansion of domestic demand and deepening the structural reform of the supply side", but directly mentioned the expansion of domestic demand, which is also a manifestation of facing the problem more directly and attaching importance to the demand side. Second, as far as finance and money are concerned, this meeting mentioned "implementing a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy", and the modifier "more" was added in front of the active fiscal policy. A similar expression was found in the Politburo meeting in April 2020, "The active fiscal policy should be more active and promising", and then in May, the two sessions formulated a large-scale fiscal combination boxing (deficit ratio 3.6%+, 3.75 trillion new special debts and 1 trillion special national debts). The third is to stabilize the property market and write the stock market into the 2025 goal. The fourth is to pay attention to consumption. The meeting mentioned "vigorously boosting consumption, improving investment efficiency and expanding domestic demand in all directions". It is expected that the policy of promoting consumption will make a breakthrough in scale and direction. Fifth, the meeting also mentioned science and technology (to lead the development of new quality productive forces with scientific and technological innovation and build a modern industrial system), green (to jointly promote carbon reduction, pollution reduction and green growth, and accelerate the overall green transformation of economic and social development) and foreign trade. Emphasizing science and technology, it is clear that the direction of future policy is in the industrial direction led by science and technology. At the same time, for green, because next year is the last year of the 14 th Five-Year Plan, emission reduction and other targets need to be completed. In terms of foreign trade and foreign investment, the meeting mentioned that "it is necessary to expand high-level opening to the outside world and stabilize foreign trade and foreign investment".Artes: The shares to be transferred by this inquiry have been fully subscribed. Artes announced that according to the inquiry and subscription on December 9, 2024, the initial transfer price of this inquiry was 11.88 yuan/share. A total of 38 valid quotations were received for this inquiry transfer, covering professional institutional investors such as fund management companies, insurance companies, qualified foreign investors, securities companies and private fund managers. The total number of shares effectively subscribed by institutional investors participating in this inquiry and transfer quotation is 121 million shares, and the corresponding effective subscription multiple is 2.18 times. The shares to be transferred in this inquiry have been fully subscribed, and it is preliminarily determined that there are 23 transferees, and the total number of shares to be transferred is 55,323,300 shares.Kirby, spokesman of US National Security Council: Another aid plan for Ukraine will be launched soon.


Shenwan Hongyuan Securities interprets the meeting of the Political Bureau in December: highlighting "expanding domestic demand in all directions" and "stabilizing the property market stock market". Shenwan Hongyuan Securities Research Report pointed out that in December, Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party's discussion on next year's economic work was more refined, guiding the direction of future policies, such as "expanding domestic demand in all directions". The meeting rarely emphasized "stabilizing the property market and stock market", highlighting that the current policy pays more attention to the impact of asset-side performance on the real economy. The positive signal of the policy is being released continuously, and more specific deployment focuses on the upcoming Central Economic Work Conference in December. In terms of fiscal and monetary policies, the positive degree of macro-policy adjustment is relatively rare. The meeting proposed "implementing more positive and promising macro-policies" and "strengthening unconventional counter-cyclical adjustment". Under the "more active" fiscal policy, it may be worth looking forward to actively using the central deficit space that can be improved. Under the tone of "moderate easing", monetary policy may pay more attention to internal balance, and the RRR cut can be expected.Aauto Quicker-W: On December 9th, it spent HK$ 48,418,900 to buy back 1,037,800 shares. Aauto Quicker -W(01024) announced that on December 9th, 2024, the company spent HK$ 48,418,900 to buy back 1,037,800 shares.The British Chancellor of the Exchequer called on the EU to remove "unnecessary" trade barriers to Britain. It is reported that during his landmark visit to Brussels, British Chancellor of the Exchequer Reeves called on the EU to remove "unnecessary" trade barriers to Britain in order to promote economic growth. She said that in view of the fact that both Britain and the European Union are "struggling" in terms of economic growth, her goal is to persuade finance ministers of various countries to improve their post-Brexit relations. She said: "The first task of this government is to develop the economy ... and see the improvement of people's living standards. The fact is that these unnecessary trade barriers will lead to a decline in living standards and make it more difficult for British companies to be competitive on the global stage. " She added: "We all want to see our economy grow faster and be more competitive in the world ... One way to achieve this goal is to reduce some trade barriers. This is one of the arguments I will put forward when I meet my European counterparts today. "


EU leaders called on Germany to lift the borrowing ceiling to protect the economy.Media: El Salvador will change its pioneering bitcoin practice in exchange for IMF transactions. According to media reports, two people familiar with the matter revealed that El Salvador is expected to reach an agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on a loan plan of 1.3 billion US dollars in the next two to three weeks. In exchange, El Salvador will change its pioneering practice of using bitcoin as legal tender and reduce the government deficit. A delegation of the International Monetary Fund has arrived in San Salvador to finalize the details of the agreement with the government. People familiar with the matter said that the transaction is expected to release another $1 billion in loans from the World Bank and the Inter-American Development Bank in the next few years. This loan plan must be approved by the board of directors of the International Monetary Fund, which will enable this Central American country to return to the international financial circle after several years of relative isolation. The country passed a law in June 2021, making it the first country in the world to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender. However, the International Monetary Fund opposes El Salvador's adoption of digital currency on the grounds that financial stability and integrity are at risk, and urges the government to stop accepting cryptocurrency as legal tender.Baltic dry bulk freight index rose 0.09% to 1168 points.

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